Thursday, October 27, 2016

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We think this reflects an affinity among investors for a balance in leadership in Washington, Calvasina said. Sector winners Overall, increased certainty under Clinton should help consumer spending and discretionary names, according to Credit Suisse. And while some may be pressured by higher labor costspushed higher by Clintons support for a higherminimum wagecompanies have been able to offset these expenses while benefiting from more well-positioned customers. And, franchise-oriented companieslike McDonalds ( MCD )should be more insulated. Meanwhile Credit Suisse noted that stocks with international exposureincluding the industrial sector specificallyare well-positioned under a Clinton White House. This is related to fear over the implications of candidate Donald Trumps isolationist views on trade, Calvasina said, which pose a risk to the economy and challenge the fundamental playbook that equity investors have had in place over the last decade, in which global exposure/sourcing is viewed as a good thing and a driver of growth. Plus, Clintonlike Trumpalso supports a big push in infrastructure spending, which should provide a boost to machinery names like Eaton ( ETN ) and Fluor ( FLR ), multi-industry names like United Technologies ( UTX ) and Honeywell ( HON ) along with aerospace and defense names like Boeing ( BA ). Sector risks Financials and health care could be more adversely affected in the short term over fears about increased regulatory pressures under Clinton, according to Credit Suisse. View photos However, these issues could be short-lived. For the financials, the passage of the election removes a barrier to Fed rate hikes, where the steepening yield curve is positive for the group. Credit Suisse specifically said it sees smaller regional banking names as out-sized winners, as they can avoid the issuesincluding heightened regulatory pressures, continued implementation of Dodd-Frank, and heightened scrutiny of consumer practicesthat the bulge bracket banks must face. One area that may be more permanently-negative?

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